The University of Notre Dame maintains a “Global Adaptation Index”, a quantitative measure of how exposed different countries are to the predicted ravages of climate change. The index runs from 0 to 100, with zero representing maximum exposure and 100 representing no exposure (i.e. it’s backwards, but we’ll live with that). The methodology it uses to generate the numbers is described in this recent article and summarized thus:
The Notre Dame-Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN) is a free open-source index that shows which countries are most exposed to climate change impacts and their current vulnerability to the disruptions that will follow, such as floods, droughts, heat waves, cyclones, security risks and so forth, as well as their readiness to leverage private and public sector investment for adaptation actions. ND-GAIN brings together 45 indicators to measure the 178 UN countries from 1995 to the present.
The Huffington Post recently plotted the Notre Dame numbers on a map of the world and published it in an article entitled The Countries That’ll Survive Global Warming. Here’s the map:
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