Tuesday 29 August 2017

Economists Are the New Astrologers

Mises Wire:

When Christopher Nolan was promoting his previous film Interstellarhe made the casual observation that “Take a field like economics for example. [Unlike physics] you have real material things and it can’t predict anything. It’s always wrong.” There is a lot more truth in that statement than most academic economists would like to admit.
Alan Jay Levinovitz recently put forth the provocative argument that economics is “The New Astrology.”He notes that “surveys indicate that economists see their discipline as ‘the most scientific of the social sciences.’” But unfortunately “real-world history tells a different story, of mathematical models masquerading as science and a public eager to buy them, mistaking elegant equations for empirical accuracy.”
Indeed, Levinovitz goes on to observe that,

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